Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
88  Sarah Rapp JR 20:00
106  Courtney Dobbs JR 20:05
435  Madalyn Nuckols JR 20:51
543  Shannon Morton FR 21:02
669  Katarina Smiljanec SO 21:11
758  Paige Kvartunas JR 21:17
833  Katherine Sheridan SO 21:22
856  Ashley Hayes SO 21:24
869  Abigail Motley FR 21:25
980  Amanda Smith SO 21:33
1,295  Frankie Dowd JR 21:52
1,355  Lauren Jaeger SO 21:56
1,541  Erica Dobbs FR 22:06
2,073  Hannah Green FR 22:40
National Rank #44 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #6 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.3%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 33.3%
Top 10 in Regional 94.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Rapp Courtney Dobbs Madalyn Nuckols Shannon Morton Katarina Smiljanec Paige Kvartunas Katherine Sheridan Ashley Hayes Abigail Motley Amanda Smith Frankie Dowd
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 1201 21:31 21:19 21:21 21:43 21:43
Mountaineer Open 10/04 1032 20:47 20:47 20:56 21:03 21:11 21:35 21:53 21:44 21:06 21:37 22:02
Pre-National Invitational (White) 10/19 845 20:34 20:00 20:45 21:06 21:15 20:52
ACC Championships 11/01 799 19:58 19:57 21:04 20:59 21:08 21:18 21:14 21:42 21:22
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 674 19:45 20:00 20:40 20:36 21:05 20:59 22:13
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.3% 24.8 586 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 6.6 230 0.1 4.5 11.7 16.9 19.4 17.1 11.9 7.5 4.9 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Rapp 17.1% 71.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Courtney Dobbs 9.7% 78.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Madalyn Nuckols 1.3% 188.3
Shannon Morton 1.3% 206.8
Katarina Smiljanec 1.3% 225.3
Paige Kvartunas 1.3% 231.9
Katherine Sheridan 1.3% 239.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Rapp 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.9 3.7 6.4 7.6 9.2 9.2 9.1 8.1 7.7 5.8 5.3 4.8 3.6 2.7 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.1 1.2 0.8
Courtney Dobbs 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.7 5.6 7.1 7.9 7.2 7.6 7.3 6.5 6.1 5.8 4.8 3.6 3.8 3.2 2.5 2.0 2.1 1.6
Madalyn Nuckols 54.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4
Shannon Morton 68.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Katarina Smiljanec 80.9 0.0
Paige Kvartunas 89.1
Katherine Sheridan 97.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 4.5% 22.6% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 1.0 3
4 11.7% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.6 0.1 4
5 16.9% 16.9 5
6 19.4% 19.4 6
7 17.1% 17.1 7
8 11.9% 11.9 8
9 7.5% 7.5 9
10 4.9% 4.9 10
11 3.1% 3.1 11
12 1.6% 1.6 12
13 0.9% 0.9 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 1.3% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.7 0.1 1.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0